The most important Fed decision of our natural lives is here.
(LOL)
Everyone thinks they know what’s coming: a rate cut. But just like an earnings event where the “beat” is obvious, the real money isn’t made on the headline — it’s in the guidance and how the market reacts afterward.
Right now, the S&P and Nasdaq refuse to sell off. Hedge funds keep piling into puts, VIX calls, and hedges. Ironically, that’s the exact fuel keeping the market bid. Downside is overpriced. Upside is still underpriced.
So where’s the real edge?
Bonds — bond vol is cheap compared to equity vol.
Gold — crowded on the long side, setting up for a potential rug pull.
Tesla — Elon Musk just put $1 billion of his own money on the line, and insiders can’t flip those shares for six months. Forget the “car company” label; Tesla is a robotics and AI conglomerate. The move isn’t over yet.
Smart Shorts — instead of top-picking Tesla, look at Google after its regulatory boost or Nvidia, which is quietly underperforming.
And if you want proof that smart convex trades can deliver, look no further than Ionic. We caught the failed breakdown reversal, grabbed October calls for 74¢, and sold them at $8.50. That’s a 900% gain on a single setup.
Uber? Clean breakout, targeting $100. Rocket (RKT)? A squeeze candidate — but only if the rate cut sticks.
This is what Convex Spaces is all about: finding trades where the payoff curve bends in your favor. We just wrapped up our August trade review, showing every win (and loss). Net-net, it was a monster month with multiple triple-baggers.
👉 Right now, you can lock in 20% off an annual subscription at convexspaces.com/deal.
👉 Plus, I’ll throw in access to every options trading course I’ve ever made — a package I’ve sold for thousands.
The Fed’s about to flip the switch. Do you want to be on the right side of the trade?
Click here to join Convex Spaces today
Timestamps
00:35 – The “most important Fed decision of our natural lives.”
02:14 – Market pricing: 95% chance of a cut, guidance matters most.
03:33 – Nasdaq volatility setup and why complacency isn’t real.
05:10 – Risk skew: downside overpriced, upside underpriced.
05:41 – Bonds and gold as alternative volatility trades.
07:05 – Tesla: Musk’s $1B buy, why it matters, and gamma squeeze mechanics.
10:00 – Why the Tesla “top call” is too early this time.
13:27 – Google and Nvidia as better short candidates.
16:03 – Ionic trade case study: failed breakdown → 900% options gain.
19:46 – Uber setup: breakout targeting $100.
21:15 – Rocket (RKT): institutional ownership, shorts, and rate cut sensitivity.
23:00 – Convex Spaces August trade review + subscription deal.
